Lincoln Attendances: How Low / Long Can We Go?

Lincoln City’s attendance figures are now at an all-time low, breaching the previous 2023 achieved during the season that we were last relegated from the Football League.  That triumphant first season in the Conference saw us average 3,572, as the Mighty Imps made a record 5th return to claim our golden ticket. Let us look at those attendances on a season by season basis and, how they will ensure bust -the-budget-Bob- brings another Bank loss.

Thank you for reading Neil Gentleman-Hobbs

Lincoln City F.C. badge.png

We have started post World War II, as prior figures are a little sketchy, especially pre 1930′s, when Government legislation was brought in to counter suspected ‘turnstile tax evasion’. We have all heard the stories, not to mention the wheezes, the turnstile operators may have employed. The full table is at the bottom, for those who wish to cut to the chase, but here are this and last season’s comparisons in depth, as an aperitif, a prawn volovant if you will. Then just for fun, akin to the way the board preside over the finances, a fishy course based on the break even and projected figures.  Then to the main course Imps crowds through the ages.  The desert, a double entendre if ever there was one, speaks for itself.

 Lincoln City F.C. badge.png 2011/12 2012/13
Highest Gate 5506 Grimsby 2112 Harriers
Lowest Gate 1587 Gateshead 1566 Alfreton
Average Attendance 2347 1822
Total turnstile clicks 53990 9114

We have taken the latest PR faux pas, where it was admitted that the club would need 2800-3000 gates to break-even.  Basing our model purely on the folly of this, STMI have taken last season’s crowds and those of this so far, to calculate the losses over the full 23 captivating home encounters. Remember we will have the uplifting financial impact, of 1850 Mariners dancing on our graves on Boxing day (Yes enough said) and, no one will be able to further help out by paying double to get out early.  It would have been an interesting business model to discuss with the board tomorrow, mais c’est la vie c’est La Guerre! 

Lincoln City F.C. badge.png
Break-even 2800 Break-even 3000
Average Match Crowd Shortfall against 2011/12 -453 -653
Average Match Crowd Shortfall against 2012/13 -978 -1178
Total Crowd Shortfall against 2011/12 gates  -10,410 -15010
Total Crowd Shortfall against likely 2012/13 gates  -12,084 -27094
Total Cash Shortfall against 2011/12 @ £9.96 per ticket -£103,683.60 -£149,499.60
Total Cash Shortfall against 2012/13 @ £9.96 -£120,356.64 -£269,856.24

Lincoln City F.C. badge.png

Estimates from 1884 to 1893 (when we helped found the second Division) saw  crowds around -3500. Then in 1893 the 4,000  barrier was tested growing steadily to 6,000 by the late 1920′s.  A low of just over 5,000 in 1930 saw a handsome 50% rise in average gate receipts the following season, as we came second in Division 3 North. The following season we went up as Champions to the second Division. The first season back set a new high-average of 9,758.

Lincoln City F.C. badge.png

The 1940′s and 1950′s are seen as the traditional golden era for football attendances,  with the Imps no exception.  Over 13,000 trooped to see the promotion season of 1948 as we went on to average in the teens until 1960. The following season saw free-fall as we went from the second to the third to the fourth in successive seasons.  The sixties were bleak  but the seventies saw us bounce back from the 4,000′s to the sixes and sevens.  It peaked at an average of 8,401 for GT’s record setting Imps of ’76.

Lincoln City F.C. badge.png

The mid eighties saw the real lows as many Imps lost the faith after the Bradford fire and of course the Gilbert Blades affair, where lack of ambition cost us a return to those heady days of the second tier.  Bar a couple of sub 3,000 seasons in the early 1990′s we veered between 3 and 4,000 until Keith Alexander built us to just shy of a 5,000 average. Schofield’s brand of beautiful football saw us set a modern high of 5,176 in his first season, but alas as we know it has been down hill ever since.

Lincoln City F.C. badge.png

Year       League Position Attendance
Season Ending Level League Position Average Rank Against 92
so far 5 18 1822 n/a
2012 5 17 2347 n/a
2011 4 91 3.508 79
2010 4 88 3.670 78
2009 4 81 3.940 77
2008 4 83 4.078 81
2007 4 73 5.176 69
2006 4 75 4.739 75
2005 4 74 4.927 74
2004 4 75 4.910 74
2003 4 74 3.924 80
2002 4 90 3.223 86
2001 4 86 3.273 84
2000 4 83 3.405 79
1999 3 67 4.654 69
1998 4 71 3.968 72
1997 4 77 3.163 79
1996 4 86 2.870 80
1995 4 82 3.276 77
1994 4 88 3.179 80
1993 4 78 3.331 76
1992 4 80 2.822 80
1991 4 82 2.967 79
1990 4 78 4.071 66
1989 4 78 3.887 67
1988 5 93 3.572
1987 4 92 2.023 88
1986 3 65 2.617 77
1985 3 63 2.486 74
1984 3 58 3.148 74
1983 3 50 4.790 57
1982 3 48 4.222 69
1981 4 70 4.715 62
1980 4 75 3.713 78
1979 3 68 3.168 81
1978 3 60 4.878 67
1977 3 53 7.145 52
1976 4 69 8.401 43
1975 4 73 5.795 61
1974 4 80 3.930 74
1973 4 78 4.547 68
1972 4 73 7.603 58
1971 4 89 5.499 67
1970 4 76 6.070 67
1969 4 76 7.912 54
1968 4 81 6.692 65
1967 4 92 4.088 86
1966 4 90 3.845 87
1965 4 90 4.475 82
1964 4 79 5.650 77
1963 4 90 4.630 80
1962 3 66 5.868 74
1961 2 44 7.429 67
1960 2 35 10.734 54
1959 2 41 11.334 54
1958 2 42 10.147 61
1957 2 40 11.180 56
1956 2 30 13.215 48
1955 2 38 12.067 52
1954 2 38 14.712 48
1953 2 37 16.775 44
1952 3N 45 13.811 55
1951 3N 53 10.440 67
1950 3N 51 12.418 63
1949 2 44 15.890 53
1948 3N 45 13.187 61
1947 3N 67 7.614 73
Advertisements

Posted on September 18, 2012, in Financial, Statistics, Writers - Neil Gentleman-Hobbs. Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: